9 Million Missing U.S. Workers: Where Did They Go?  What Does Their Disappearance Mean for the Fed’s Monetary Policy?

9 Million Missing U.S. Workers: Where Did They Go? What Does Their Disappearance Mean for the Fed’s Monetary Policy?

June 24, 2014

The U.S. labor force participation rate has fallen by 3.6 percentage points, or 9 million workers, since 2007.  There are multiple factors contributing to this trend, however the largest reason for the decline is demographics.  Keybridge’s analysis of these important labor force dynamics suggests that the surprisingly rapid decline in the unemployment rate in the past couple of years is no statistical fluke and that labor markets may be tighter than some Fed officials believe.

Related Documents: Key Insight – The Declining Labor Force Participation Rate – June 2014

Predicting Gold Prices with the Keybridge U.S. Momentum Monitor

Predicting Gold Prices with the Keybridge U.S. Momentum Monitor

May 15, 2014

Keybridge’s U.S. Economic Momentum Monitor is shown to be a reliable indicator of future movements in gold prices.  This latest Key Insight provides a useful tool for timing investments in gold.

Related Documents: Key Insight – U.S. Momentum Monitor and Gold Prices – May 2014

Thoughts on End of Summer U.S. Economic Data

Thoughts on End of Summer U.S. Economic Data

August 30, 2013

Keybridge’s Robert Wescott analyzes the mixed picture resulting from the latest U.S. economic data.  Dr. Wescott concludes that with a weak start to key components of GDP – consumption and capital spending – the third quarter may see only modest growth.

Related Documents: Key Insight – End Of Summer Economic Data – Aug 2013

Big Changes in the Fed’s FOMC in January 2014

Big Changes in the Fed’s FOMC in January 2014

August 27, 2013

Keybridge’s Robert Wescott discusses how the Fed’s FOMC members rotate, and how the upcoming rotation in January 2014 could push the monetary policy making body in a more hawkish direction.

Related Documents: Key Insight – Changes to FOMC in 2014 – Aug 2013

Prospects for Fed Tapering

Prospects for Fed Tapering

August 23, 2013

Keybridge’s Robert Wescott examines the latest FOMC meeting minutes and discusses the prospects for the Federal Reserve scaling back its long-term asset purchases, or, tapering.

Related Documents: Key Insight – Prospects for Fed Tapering – Aug 2013

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